The Guardian’s view on the IPCC report: The world has suffered at the cost of inaction. editorial

wooIs humanity likely to survive a full-scale disaster, given that history shows that the collapse of civilization has been mostly the norm rather than the exception? answer, accordingly According to the latest report by the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the potential for destruction is less than previously thought. Scientists are clear that not enough is being done to tackle the climate disaster. The IPCC suggests that approximately 40% of mankind is living in danger zones, and that many ecosystems are being irreversibly degraded. The UN Secretary-General, Antonio Guterres, was outspoken in describing the abandonment of leadership by world powers as “criminal”. The world’s biggest polluters, he said, “are guilty of arson at our only home”.

No amount of global heating is safe. If the world’s average temperature rises by 1.5C – the target of the Paris climate agreement – IPCC report good warned that up to 14% of species on land are at very high risk of extinction. At 3C, with no abnormal growth, about a third of life on terra firma could be lost. This report is the final warning. Next time the world’s scientists will pronounce at the end of the decade – when it will be too late to stop the rot. This is why it is essential to stick to the UN goals of cutting global greenhouse gas emissions by 45% by 2030 and achieving global net zero emissions by 2050. And why is it extremely disappointing that existing commitments will increase emissions by 14%. It puts a world at risk in social chaos.

Past inaction and the failure to start significant emissions reductions early have cost the world dearly. The idea of ​​a gentle transition from fossil fuels to low-carbon alternatives no longer seems realistic. catastrophic event like arctic permafrost The disappearance of the Amazon rainforest altogether or the elimination of a savannah could mean the world faces a more climate disaster than the IPCC model predicts. Greenhouse gases are not just carbon dioxide. still co2 Emissions may need to be further reduced to compensate if Climate-Changing Non-CO2 gases Not being curbed fast enough. The world must now take emergency action to rapidly reduce atmospheric carbon concentrations and confront the “arson” of the fossil fuel industry that refuses to manage its decline.

A renewable energy future requires a quick turnaround, but unfortunately, is not in sight. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is not about hydrocarbons, but it has many implications for their use. Moscow used it gas supply As Damocles’ sword upon his major clients. The EU must reduce its reliance on gas in terms of energy security and stop planetary destruction.

The Ukraine crisis is showing that governments will spend huge sums of money to deal with a threat deemed very serious. Germany inverted Post-Cold War foreign policy is to spend €100bn on reorganizing its military forces in light of Russia’s actions. It is a pity that for more than a decade, vulnerable countries have not received a similar amount to help combat the climate crisis. African countries It is believed that adapting to climate change will spend an average of 4% of GDP. What is needed is that we find a way of living our lives that combines social justice with ecological sustainability. Disappointingly, the IPCC revealed that the search still hasn’t started properly.