Dr. Abdullah bin Musa Al Tayer
Perhaps the circumstance of the time encouraged the veteran American statesman Henry Kissinger to counter the trend in his view of the Russo-Ukrainian war. Perhaps if Kissinger had not reached old age, and had no longer considered many of his personal interests or prospects for his political future, he had not so boldly demanded that Ukraine be part of his territory to bring about peace in Europe. Leave it
Senior US diplomats warn of a “moment of the moment” that is mobilizing all its military assets, capabilities and equipment in an economic blockade against Russia to defeat President Putin. I have warned before, and in this angle, against the consequences of humiliating Russia, and the consequences of humiliating the states and the resulting wars of retaliation.
Like Kissinger, many Europeans, especially the right-wing, are not in favor of interfering in the affairs of others to impose liberal democracy, but they are either out of power or lacking a wider media that can take their real position on the war. and they practice political piety. So that the counter does not become a target of the media. But how long will the Europeans remain united under the influence of the “moment mood”.
The Americans and the British, in particular, fueled a power war waged by Russia that would seize Kyiv and the whole of Ukraine within a month. President Putin may have rushed his army to achieve a goal which was then impossible to achieve, so he withdrew after major losses and pushed it into the eastern and southeastern regions, cutting off the Donbass and Lugansk regions from Ukraine and the Crimea. reinstated in an effort to cut down on the occupation. It seems that Russia is confident that it will not go beyond these two areas and it will be a long war that Russia will be able to defend, even if all the NATO alliance has to gather in its war.
No one is ignoring the impact of US sanctions and liberal-democratic countries on the Russian economy, but it is clear that the Russian economy is entering a fourth month of coherence, and sanctions will take longer to affect Russians, and The whole world could be hit by the crises caused by the disruption of the food supply, before Russia faces the penalty.
It is clear that Moscow expects to see more divisions among allies in NATO, and waits for European countries to feel the chill, especially since the main players are the United States and Britain, whose inflation rate is high. The rate has reached unprecedented rates, which will see the two ruling parties in London and Washington lose popular momentum in the upcoming elections, whether parliamentary or presidential.
It is clear that Russia and “unfriendly” countries will redouble their efforts in the summer months. Russia knows that her perseverance will give her an added advantage until the beginning of winter when Westerners begin to tremble with cold, and the only hope is heat coming from Russia, and in return for Russian tactics, the United States will mobilize the United States. The US, UK and EU provide Hawke supplies and military equipment so that Ukraine can defeat Russia before winter, which seems impossible.
In any case, it seems that with the changes since February 24, 2022 AD, the fate of the crisis is to be negotiated, and the war will end, but Ukraine will not regain any of its eastern territories (Crimea). Will do , Donbass, and Lugansk), and time will end this dispute in the UN files and the corridors of negotiations that lead to nothing.
Undoubtedly, the accounts of the early days of the war have changed; Russia is moving on to arrange a post-war world, and this war will not be a departure from the war of 2014, but the assurance of inevitable fate surrounded by the admission of an unpredictable variable that mixes the cards on both sides, Such as the sudden entry of a NATO country into war, or the introduction of an unconventional weapon into the battlefield by both sides, which necessarily leads to an extension of the war and the outbreak of nuclear war. Otherwise, this war will enter the stage of conventional wars and their general end.