SPD narrowly ahead in exit polls as voting ends in Germany’s historic election, but final result uncertain

The narrowness of the margins means that German elections are very close to the call at the moment and the next government – and the chancellor – is impossible to predict. A large number of postal ballots are also yet to be counted.

Whichever party comes to the fore, long coalition talks are expected before the government is formed.

But for SPD, coming out side by side with CDU counts as a significant advantage. The Left party had secured 20.5% of the vote in the country’s last general election in 2017.

SPD leader Olaf Scholz commented at his party’s headquarters, saying, “The voters have decided that the Social Democratic Party has benefited, and it is a great success.”

Scholz said voters want him to be the next chancellor. “Many citizens have placed their cross next to the SPD because they want a change of government and also because they want the next chancellor of this country to be called Olaf Scholz.”

The 63-year-old politician has served as vice-chancellor and German finance minister in Merkel’s coalition government since 2018, giving her increased visibility as she navigated Germany’s economic response to the pandemic.

“Pragmatism, optimism, unity is what we will show because that’s what matters, and I’m sure citizens will be happy about their decision post-election,” Scholz said.

The applause and cheers of enthusiastic party supporters interrupted him as he spoke.

“Now we’ll wait for the final result, but then we’ll get to work. Thanks!” Scholz said.

Robin Fugman, 20, an ardent Scholz supporter, told CNN he was pleased with the results so far.

“It’s a really surprising result, people believe in Olaf Scholz, people believe Armin Laschet can’t really lead this country,” he said. “So we really have a mandate to lead a new government – I hope we do. And first of all we’re going to celebrate because it’s a really amazing result.”

Armin Laschet smiles as he comments on the results of the Bundestag elections on Sunday.

CDU leader: Party ‘cannot be satisfied’

In contrast, the mood at CDU headquarters was bleak as early exit polls surfaced, suggesting the CDU could see the worst result in its history – with a likely vote share of over 8% from 2017.

The party “cannot be satisfied with this result,” CDU leader Armin Laschet told supporters, while the final result remained unclear.

“We can see that there can be a government with three parties,” he said, as he said the party would “do everything to try to form a coalition.”

Lachette said the CDU “has got a mandate against the leftist government.”

The party had campaigned on a message of stability for the country after Merkel stepped down, seen as a stable pair over the past 16 years.

“It results in bitter loss – there’s no way to sugarcane it,” said CDU general secretary Paul Zemiak. “This result really hurts.”

German Chancellor Angela Merkel on Sunday commended key members of the CDU.

But, Zemiak said, the results are not final yet. “The evening is long and we will see what the next few hours will bring,” he said.

Deborah Piraba, a 27-year-old law student and Young Christian Union Democrat, told CNN at CDU headquarters that the results were “disappointing” but nothing has been lost so far.

Angela Merkel saw the Germans in crisis after crisis.  Now they wonder who will fill in this blank

“We have to consider that we are coming out of 16 years with Angela Merkel, of whom I am a huge fan. I am already sad that she is leaving office,” he said. “We call her Muti (mother), she knew how to talk to people and had a connection with the people and she did a lot for Germany. It made her so special to compare her with other politicians. I will miss his sense of humour.”

Meanwhile, crowds gathered at the Green Party headquarters in Berlin as the first exit polls were read.

Greens leader Annalena Barbock thanked party supporters, saying, “We have led a campaign like we have never experienced before in this country – round the clock, from last night, to the last second.”

environmental concerns And economic concerns have emerged as key issues in campaigning, in the past due to the deadly floods that ravaged parts of Germany this summer.

Bairbock attributed the success of his party to young and new voters. “This momentum comes from market places, from so many [people] Those who have joined our party over the years have led to this historic best result.”

But, Barbock said, the party “wanted more” and had failed to do better in part because of the mistakes it made during the election campaign.

Analyst: ‘long order’

The outgoing government continues as the caretaker government until it is replaced by a new government. Merkel, 67, will then stand down and the new chancellor will take over the reins.

CNN commentator Dominic Thomas said that even though the final result changed vote distribution, the basic fact was “after 16 years in power, about 76% of Germans have not voted”.

He added that neither the CDU nor the SPD would have a real opportunity to form an alliance.

“If it is the SPD that leads the way, then the only way forward is to talk to the three parties, which will most likely include the Greens and the FDP. And that is a tall order enough to bring them all together. trying to.” he said.

Exit polls indicate movement towards the center and centre-left, he said, reflecting the concerns of a young electorate.

“It is clear that the momentum is moving towards issues that are related to social welfare, green politics,” Thomas said.

Negotiations to form a coalition government may take weeks or even months. It took more than five months for a government under Merkel to be formed after the September 2017 election.

CNN’s Friedrich Pleitzen, Salma Abdelaziz, Nadine Schmidt and Stephanie Halaz reported from Berlin and Laura Smith-Spark wrote from London. CNN’s Nina Avramova, Inki Kapeler and Aditi Sangal contributed to this report.

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