Behind Rishi Sunak in pre-election polls, one of his ministerial supporters in the UK cabinet said on Friday that the former chancellor could still score a surprise victory over Foreign Secretary Liz Truss in the race for 10 Downing Street in a similar Brexit outcome. of June 2016. Transport Secretary Grant Shapps pointed to the outcome of the European Union (EU) referendum six years ago, which most surveyors predicted would end the vote for Britain to remain in the economic bloc.
However, the June 23, 2016 result confused most analysts, who had also received predictions of a Conservative Party loss or a hung parliament in the general elections a year earlier. In two weeks we’ll know who the new prime minister is, Shapps told Sky News when asked if it was time for Sunak to give up on the Tory leadership election.
I don’t think it would be right for either party to not allow the formal vote to go ahead and if there’s one thing we’ve learned from the past few years, think about the 2015 election, I was the party president at that time. ‘Everyone said we can’t win the election,’ the senior Conservative Party MP recalled. “I think the 2016 Brexit poll where everyone was pretty sure the country was going to vote to stay; I think it would be a great idea to wait for those who voted in this contest to complete the vote. As in That I said, it’s only a fortnight’s time, we’ll know the answer, he said in reference to the results day of September 5, when the new Tory leader and prime minister will be announced.
Shapps’ intervention comes a day after a YouGov poll for Sky News suggested 66 percent of Tory members were in favor of voting for a truss and 34 percent in favor of the former British Indian minister, once he Party members who do not know or will vote are not excluded. This gives the Truss a strong 32 point lead, which most analysts consider fairly certain at this final stage of the competition.
Sunak, 42, himself has emphasized that he is on course with a shot at victory as he continues to campaign to win over Conservative Party members who are voting by mail and online. However, Sir John Curtis, Professor of Politics A leading UK surveyor at the University of Strathclyde told The Times this week that he would be extraordinarily surprised if Truss, 47, does not succeed Boris Johnson.
He did not rule out falling below 60 per cent of the truss votes as Sunak gained more support among undecided members. But below 50 it would count as a huge voting error, as we saw earlier in the 2015 general election. There is a 5 percent chance that Sunak can win it. Something had to happen. The truss would have to be fouled in some spectacular fashion. Even then it may be too late, Curtis said.
I would be extraordinarily surprised if she doesn’t win. He said that before one’s eyes all the evidence points you in the same direction. Meanwhile, bookies’ odds also remain in favor of Truss’s victory, with the latest on the oddschecker aggregator placing the foreign secretary at 91 per cent and the former chancellor at 9 per cent.
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