China left out of the Indo-Pacific deal, pushed towards the world’s largest trade deal

US President Joe Biden, Prime Minister of India Narendra Modi and Prime Minister of Japan Fumio Kishida attend the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework for Prosperity (IPEF) launch event at Izumi Garden Gallery on May 23, 2022 in Tokyo, Japan.

Jonathan Ernst | Reuters

Amidst the fanfare of US President Joe Biden New Indo-Pacific StrategyChina flew under the radar and hosted a high-level discussion on RCEP, the world’s largest trade agreement.

it came after the days of Biden Administration Launches Indo-Pacific Economic Framework, or IPEF – A partnership that includes 13 countries excluding China, as the US seeks to expand its political and economic leadership in the Indo-Pacific.

Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) The meeting in Hainan’s southern island underscored analysts’ expectations that instead of reacting to or countering IPEF, China would move forward with agreed trade agreements and take advantage of ready-to-go tariffs and market access.

at Nanyang Technological University, Singapore. “China will not take immediate or very targeted measures to respond to the IPEF,” said Li Shirui, a trade scholar at the Rajaratnam School of International Studies.

At the second RCEP media and think tank forum held in Haikou’s capital Haikou over the weekend following the IPEF announcement, non-governmental trade experts from across the region gathered to discuss further ways to expand trade within the bloc.

China can continue to promote the adoption of RCEP because this grant member says it has a large market reach, which IPEF lacks.

li zirui

s. Rajaratnam School of International Studies, NTU

The RCEP includes Australia, Japan, South Korea and New Zealand along with China and the 10-member ASEAN bloc.

Led by the Hainan government, the meeting also marked another provincial effort to implement Beijing’s comprehensive strategy. RCEP since its launch earlier this year,

“In line with its support of multilateralism and globalization, China can continue to promote the adoption of RCEP because this grant member has vast market access, which IPEF lacks,” Li told CNBC.,

He said that China will probably answer the US on any of these. Its future Asia-Pacific economic endeavors by expanding its economic dominance in the region and increasing its trade under RCEP.

Beijing will also focus its applications on joining other large-scale trade deals, including the second largest global trade agreement, the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for the Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) and the Digital Economy Partnership Agreement (DEPA), Li .

This will be China’s strategy IThat’s how it, and with other states and political observers, sees IPEF – a no-trade deal and Biden’s geopolitical rather than economic leanings in the Asia Pacific, Lee said.

In late May, following the launch of IPEF, fFormer Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad criticizes Indo-Pacific dealAnd said it was a political move by the US to isolate China.

Malaysia is one of the 13 countries that joined the IPEF, which did not include China.

RCEP is the only mega regional trade agreement to which China is a party, and China can highlight it.

Heng Wang |

Herbert Smith Freehills Siebel Center

Business expert Heng Wang, who is at the Herbert Smith Freehills China International Business and Economic Law (CIBEL) Center at the University of New South Wales, also considered that China would continue to use market access under RCEP as they would allow the region. To further strengthen its presence in

“RCEP is the only mega regional trade agreement to which China is a party, and China can expose it,” Wang said.

Henry Gao, associate professor of law at the Singapore Management University, said the threat of a competitive trade deal by the US remains a reality.

“If anyone doubts the US view of IPEF as an RCEP-killer, the White House clearly stated [IPEF] Declaration, that: ‘Together, we represent 40% of world GDP,'” Gao said.

“Why [use] This statement when IPEF is not considered about market access?”

Gao pointed to the similarity of comments made by RCEP members, particularly China, which are advertising the fact that RCEP accounts for 30% of world GDP.”

China’s grand plans for RCEP

Meanwhile, according to Li, China has already gained momentum with the implementation of RCEP since its launch in January.

This set a roadmap for Chinese businesses to expand trade and find opportunities through RCEP.

Beijing set guidelines in six sectors, including trade and manufacturing, and promoted the use of the Chinese yuan for trade settlement of business transactions. The authorities asked businesses to advance the use of their highly publicized free-trade port in Hainan which was implementing an independent customs system.

Li, who oversees China’s RCEP implementation, pointed out that at least 10 provinces, including Fujian and Zhejiang, have drawn up comprehensive plans for using RCEP.

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For example, Yunnan wants to increase exports of agricultural products, while Guangxi wants to upgrade industrial parts jointly operated in Malaysia.

The Guangxi and Fujian governments also want to build more industrial facilities in Vietnam, Malaysia and Indonesia.

Li said several provinces have promised to provide a range of RCEP-related support services in the protection of intellectual property rights and trade dispute resolution mechanisms.

In order to potentially counter IPEF signing more trade deals, China will not sign other bilateral or trilateral agreements in the region such as ending the outstanding Sino-Japan-Korea Free Trade Treaty, Li said. China’s preference for “gradualisation”. A slow-improvement approach to business deals.