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LONDON — Rishi Sunak is looking forward to taking his first summer break in five years. He will need it.
The British prime minister ̵1; known for his punitive work ethic – goes on a summer break to Westminster to focus his attention on the day’s work.
His Conservative Party suffered losses last week, which is currently trailing in national opinion polls Heavy defeat in two by-elections, And, while he managed to hold on to Boris Johnson’s old seat of Uxbridge, some believe it is a sign of a bigger Tory resurgence.
YouGov head of research Anthony Wells said of the Tories’ Uxbridge result, “At least they’ve got a straw.” “Not a very good straw, but if you’re in a storm you hold on to what you can.”
As Conservative MPs are fleeing Westminster and going back to their constituencies to gather information from voters, it seems the prime minister needs to use his summer wisely and come back with a proactive plan to defend the party.
“Increasing change and saying we’ve got the show back on the road won’t work,” said former Conservative adviser James Frayne, head of the focus group agency Public First. “We’ve gone way beyond that, because we’re getting to a point where people aren’t listening anymore.”
Sunak’s big effort was to bring stability to the country and the party after years of psychodrama under Boris Johnson and Liz Truss, and, for the most part, it still counts in his favor.
But his in-tray remains formidable. The Sunak government is still trying to rein in the cost of living, ease pressure on the National Health Service, settle industrial disputes, cool rising mortgage costs and stop migrants crossing the English Channel in small boats.
While the lack of doctors and dentist appointments is causing distress to many constituents, one former minister said: “Ultimately what we are seeing is that almost every policy area is being hit by challenges on the economy.”
Amid all this, there are concerns, reinforced by his party’s crushing defeat in two of three by-election results last week, that Sunak’s pitch is not going to change his mind. Doubts about his leadership persist, with colleagues often describing him as a technocrat and lacking political savvy.
a newly formed member new conservative group Several MPs said that although they would like to see more house building, “what I am desperate to hear is more passion.”
This being the Conservative Party, the challenge to Sunak hasn’t completely gone away – even though the Tories have journeyed through three prime ministers within a year. In the wake of the by-election defeat, one MP, a staunch opponent of Sunak, said the Conservatives “need a new leader” and “we are starting to discuss who it could be, because polls show he is not moving forward and [Labour’s Keir] Starmer can be defeated.”
Even those who dismiss the idea of changing leaders would like to see dramatic change. It is something Sunak recognized when he assured a meeting of backbench MPs last week that he would come back in September with that grand plan.
A supporter MP present at the meeting said: “He was very good at giving reasons to be happy, but he is very efficient and seems to have to translate that into an attitude.”
The same MP cynically suggested a two-pronged approach: emphasizing already demonstrated competence; And then more optimistic discussion about what the Tories can offer if the country sticks to the plan and the economy recovers. He cited the promise of tax cuts, help defraying child care costs and job creation as potential beacons of hope for voters.
Others doubt that a checklist will work. “It’s gone beyond issue-based politics,” said focus group expert Fran. “There is now an all-pervasive sense of failure, drift and blame on the government. Therefore, it is difficult to make it back through progress on a particular issue.
There is also concern in the party that Sunak’s perceived lack of passion is not currently being addressed elsewhere in his government.
Chancellor Jeremy Hunt is seen as a pragmatic figure like his boss. Home Secretary Suella Braverman is preoccupied with the sole issue of immigration. Party chairman Greg Hands is popular but mild-mannered. And Foreign Secretary James Cleverly, seen as a good communicator, is essentially out of the country most of the time.
MPs hope the impending cabinet reshuffle will deliver a stronger line-up ahead of the next general election, with more airtime for Cleverly and Defense Minister James Happy, as well as promotions for young ambassadors such as Laura Trott and Claire Coutinho.
It appears that the No. 10 is aware that it also lacks experienced backroom advisors. Sunak’s team is looking to rope in some of the more experienced leaders, having served under David Cameron and Theresa May. Cameron-era education aide Henri de Zoete was recruited by Number 10 last month as Sunak’s artificial intelligence adviser.
When it comes to uniting the troops, Sunak isn’t entirely lacking in material. Slowing inflation and the passage of a major bill aimed at curbing immigration both allow lawmakers to debate with constituents they are making progress.
Conservative peer Robert Hayward pointed to the lower-than-expected inflation rate revealed last week, saying “there was a real sense of mood change within the Tory party because of the inflation data.” “Now may be an opportunity to draw attention to the front in a way that hasn’t happened before.”
Retaining Uxbridge has also given hope to some MPs who are now considering what local issues they may be able to campaign on to buck a serious national trend. Tory chairman Hands clarified the view among many Conservatives that there was still a real lack of “enthusiasm” for Starmer.
Encouraged by the victory in the by-election, Conservative ministers also took a pledge on Sunday. take the edge off A set of bold policies designed to tackle climate change and pollution.
Either way, Sunak’s summer vacation promises only a brief respite from the harrowing year ahead.
As MPs return in September for a final effort before the next election under the leadership of the prime minister, they currently lack the spark of inspiration they need to inspire them.
Eleni Kouria, Annabelle Dixon and Aggie Chambre contributed reporting.